Gatineau’s Wealth-building Arsenal: Forex Trading And Mining Strategies

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Gatineau’s Wealth-building Arsenal: Forex Trading And Mining Strategies – Sometimes I like to look at Canada through the lens of the Eurozone: both are monetary unions where certain regions have done better than others. For example, there are some interesting parallels between Spain and Ontario, particularly the fact that employment losses in Spain and Ontario have been disproportionately greater than employment losses elsewhere in Europe and Canada.

So this post examines the question to what extent Spain and Ontario’s problems are due to the fact that they are forced to live with a monetary policy stance that is not necessarily designed in their interests. Or is the problem with the monetary union itself?

Gatineau’s Wealth-building Arsenal: Forex Trading And Mining Strategies

Gatineau's Wealth-building Arsenal: Forex Trading And Mining Strategies

Here’s a graph of Ontario’s trade balance with the rest of Canada and with the rest of the world:

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Looking at these graphs, it’s hard to construct a narrative where Ontario’s problem is intra-Canada trade. Ontario has a small but stable trade surplus with the rest of Canada, and in any case, trade flows with the rest of Canada are about half as important as trade flows with the rest of the world.

By 2007, Spain had a current account deficit of almost 10% of GDP, and trade deficits with other EU members were about the same size as the trade deficit with the rest of the world. But unlike Ontario, Spain’s trade flows with the rest of the world are half of those within the EU.

(Also note that as a share of GDP, Ontario’s trade flows are about three times larger than Spain’s.)

In Ontario, the second point probably applies, but not the first: Ontario’s problem is not its ability to export elsewhere in Canada. So, the Canadian Monetary Union

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Posted by Stephen Gordon on Jan 04, 2012 in International Relations , Monetary Policy , Stephen Gordon The 2008-9 Recession | Permanent connection

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